Lewis: 360 has "at least" five more years
3D important in 12-18 months' time.
European Xbox 360 bigwig Chris Lewis reckons his console has "at least" five more competitive years in it.
Talking to GamesIndustry.biz, he said Europe was "very central" to Microsoft's "global success" during that time. He's convinced that Kinect - nee Natal - will appeal greatly on the continent.
"Kinect for 360 is big for France, Italy, Germany and Spain, where there is a market for the casual gaming appetite that we can now address without the physical barrier of the controller," said Lewis.
"2010 will be a very big year for us. It is in many ways for us mid-lifecycle. What you've seen is with this new sleek design and Kinect for Xbox 360 we've got at least another five years of this generation where we continue to offer great experiences for people.
"We continue to attach more games than competitive platforms," he added, "and we have the healthiest ecosystem with 25 million people connected through Xbox Live. So we are uniquely placed to continue to do really, really well in this business and enjoy ongoing momentum."
Lewis went on to reveal that he doesn't believe 3D will be important until a year, year-and-a-half from now.
"You can't have the revolution without the army in terms of the installed base," he quipped. "Certainly for this Christmas the timing isn't yet right. Over time there will be a lot more interest as the price points get more realistic, we'll see families feeling better about having that kind of infrastructure in the home.
"I think we'll see in 12-18 months from now that will become more important. From our point of view we're very well placed and we'll listen to what our consumers want and we can enhance the experience accordingly."
He added that it was "too early" to talk about 3D this side of Christmas.
Head over to GamesIndustry.biz for the full interview with Chris Lewis.
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Comments (74) Latest comment 2 years ago
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Also its strange they see 3D being only around a year before it takes off, so Sony and Nintendo will already be far and away ahead by the time it appears and MS will be late to the party... dont get the concept.
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So what. I can still buy and enjoy the odd PS2 game from time to time, so it will be nice being able to gift your console to someone else in 3 years, or sell it without it being unsupported and obsolete.
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Its almost been 5 years and HD penetration (missis!) must still be sub 50% for consoles, given that a lot are played on 2nd tellys.
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I agree with 12-18mths for 3D before it becomes anything like mainstream tho. Sets need to be sub £1K before this takes off, and you need time for people with HD sets to consider an upgrade worthwhile.
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Hopefully it means MS have learned from Sony and won't just kill the existing model stone-dead when the new one comes out.
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Fixed.
I feel proper 3D in every home is years off.
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I have a feeling the only people who disagree are those who've just paid £2000 for a bleeding edge gaming PC and want to whinge that consoles are again holding their niche hobby back because all the big budgets are going to console games and they want to show off to other PC gamers how well their ridiculous new graphics card can render grass or slime or nostril hairs or something.
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Microsoft aren't saying 3D will be important in 12-18 months because that's when their games (even though I'm not sure what these are) are going to be released, but more they are releasing games in that time because that's when they feel 3D will be important. You've got it the wrong way round.
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By which time Sony will have a huge 3D library and a real facility with making top 3D games that take full advantage of the tech'....and Msoft will be stumbling fitfully from the blocks whilst trying to make out they're the 3D pioneers. Well done, Msoft!
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360's are HDMI 1.2 (negating all those users out there using ANYTHING BUT HDMI) while you need 1.4 plus the frame-buffer can't handle it. The only way you can get 3D on 360 is either hope your TV up-scales the 3D or the game is very sub-HD and you have HDMI (headache inducing)
Another example of MS bull-shitting.
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Meanwhile Sony and Nintendo build up a library of 3D ready content till that time comes.
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As for 3D, I still don't get it. I just can't see us all sitting around with fancy 3D TV's. The 3DS has a controlled environment, they have total control over the experience, I can see it working. With potential 3D consoles the whole experience will be designed around a game world with a 3D TV user in mind, but what if they don't have one?
I dunno, I am very very cynical about the whole 3D thing... Maybe after the 3DS comes out I will change my mind...?
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Far more interested in "proper" 1080p resolutions and beyond @60fps on a future console rather than 3D. I can live with slightly ropey 720p for another 18 months, but much beyond that, meh.
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I'd say it's looking increasingly likely that the next 'console' I plug into the TV in the lounge will be one I've made myself, because right now my PC is probably the most user friendly games machine I have in every aspect barring proximity to the sofa.
By 2015 Sony and MS are going to need some pretty epic exclusives to get me back.
Edit: Actually, MS own my Rock Band songs, so they're probably alright. lol
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All speculation of course
Edit - And one final point, how long until Apple release a 3D enable iDevice to stop Nintendo stealing back the market share Apple have stolen?
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I played Wipeout in 3D today - honestly wasn't over-ally impressed as I though I should be. It seems a little slower, and it's more depth looking in the screen rather then coming out the screen , also the tint of the glasses made the game more tinted.
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I see your point, I used to be a big pc gamer, but Im just a simple soul now with regards to gaming. You'll never catch me arguing about pc vs consoles, I totally see the attraction of the former and recognize it's many, many plus points over the latter...but I'm just inclined towards consoles these days.
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The thing that's got me thinking is that my PC is going on 3 years old. It still plays everything at the moment, but if we're talking 5 years before the next console cycle, it's certainly going to want replacing before then, and when I do I can't see any point it staying glued to the desk. It's going to hop into the living room.
And now that PC gaming is probably even less hassle than console gaming (no discs, Steam updates all my games when I'm not playing them rather than when I DO want to play them, that sort of thing), I do start to wonder what I need the licensed hardware for.
(Rock Band...)
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Might be time to buy the distribution rights for the "Official Xbox 360 Wireless White Flag"...
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Here's a good intro video to 3D TVs and content from AVForums.
[link url=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jz9ISXqZBz8&feature=player_embedded
]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jz9ISXqZB...[/link]
Look from 1.50 for an answer to the issue of potential format wars. They give a plain "no" right off the bat, followed by what sounds like very solid evidence to back that up.
While there are currently two types of 3D TVs on the market - one using active shutter glasses, the other passive polarized glasses similar to those at the cinema - they can display the 3D content (broadcast - they use Sky HD as an example in this video, 3D Blu-ray, games) in the format or formats that work correctly with the given system.
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I just love that all video game company's piss over people that live in other European country's then those mention above. Give some love to Sweden!
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HDMI1.4 will be a standard that one can rely on for displays -- although HDMI is not required for source devices, otherwise PS3 with its 1.3 and Sky HD with its 1.1/1.2 set-top-boxes wouldn't work -- you need to be careful right now though.
There are several 3D monitors and 3D projectors that work at 120Hz and require alternate frame presentation; these don't work with Sky HD and certainly won't work with PS3 or 3D Blu-ray players either, or anything other than this format.
So if you want compatibility in your displays look for HDMI 1.4 -- which supports all the different ways 3D data can be presented -- and don't buy some cheap 3D SVGA projector or suchlike.
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Think PS2 running along side PS3 everyone...!
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Thanks both of you for that.
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First there's the question of is it compelling - the jury is still out on that. But the bigger question is the length of time people hold on to TV sets. These are not feature- or performance-driven items like computers, or items that get upgraded casually like MP3 players or phones, they're closer to consumer white goods that people hold on to until they break, ie 8+ years. Given that we've just had a wave of upgrades to HD flatscreens, the chances of that happening again anytime soon are pretty dam low. So 12-18 months? No thanks, try 5 years instead.
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my xbox runs Halo 3 at 1152x640 ... With luck Halo: Reach is able to run in 1152x720 in fullHD tv. Not to mention you lack tons of stuff that makes games pretty on PC.
Yeah, please keep on trucking 5 more years. At least I'll be buying Dance Central and new Rock Bands for my XBox. For serious games, think I'll pass on the uglies and enjoy the graphics on serious gaming platforms.
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When it's glasses free, has huge viewing angles, and you can get a top banana model for £1k (or equivalent at the time) sign me up baby!
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Personally, I think it is great that Sony pushes forward, as 3D, and even more so with Augmented Reality (those that tried it at E3 found EyePet with the Move controller and 3D an amazing experience, because suddenly you're interacting in 3D with a creature that lives in 3D in your living room/tv). That's not to say that I'll jump in now. But by next June, we'll have a good picture of where the land lays, whether glasses are here to stay and TVs can pump up the brightness or whether other systems will be here soon, and I'll definitely go for playing some Gran Turismo in 3D. I've driven on the Nurburgring in real life, and that's quite the rollercoaster ride, quite different from doing it in a game, precisely because you don't have that sense of depth. If Gran Turismo in 3D gives me that feeling I have on the real track, that experience will be worth a LOT of money for me, as having a car just to go to the track is currently much more expensive due to taxes, insurances and so on alone.
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Actually, I like the way that technology seems to have hit a plateau this gen. Sure, piling on more effects and antialiasing is nice and all, but essentially, most games look good enough on any platform.
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This. That's a realistic target, and an extremely desirable one. In 4-5 years I hope HDTVs are prevalent enough to allow Sony/MS to enforce native 1080p as the standard games must run at.
edit - i don't imagine there is anything stopping them building in a down-scaler for those sticking to their old tellys.
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The next couple of years could be interesting. I honestly would not be surprised if 2011 turns into a pornfest of new console hardware reveals at E3. Sure the current consoles will continue to be pushed for another 5 years or so, but consoles have traditionally been announced at least a year before release. I believe 2011 will be that year.
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Kinept, Move and the 3DS are clever and interesting, but a 360 that's cool, quiet and reliable is probably what most (360-owning) people want.
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tbh though if I cant take it anymore, by then OnLive will be out in the UK for over a year so should be running pretty smoothly. Tiny box and graphics way above most PC's? Yeah thanks!! =D
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40" Samsung 3D ready £970 if you inc 1 pair of glasses:
[link url=http://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/B003JEVQRK/ref=asc_df_B003JEVQRK690779?smid=A3P5ROKL5A1OLE&tag=googlecouk06-21&linkCode=asn&creative=7974&creativeASIN=B003JEVQRK
]http://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/B003JEVQRK/re...[/link]
They will only get cheaper. 32" model can be had for about £500.
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I'll start to want a new console when there's a true leap in technology, that can be squeezed in to a console at an affordable price. And would make a massive difference to graphics, loading times, storage and whatnot. Until then, i'm happy with the 360.
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Keeping the 360 as a lone platform would essentially hold the entire industry back and could have consequences for the Xbox brand if third party devs abandon it due to those data limits. For this reason alone I suspect we'll see a new Xbox console revealed at some point in the next 12 months and likely released sometime in 2012.
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HD is not yet mass market. Sure, a lot of people now have HD capable TV's but a high majority of those people are feeding it SD content such as regular TV and DVD and seem pretty happy with it. People mostly buy HD TV's because of the size, not the quality of the picture. If people cared that much about quality they wouldn't be buying the supermarket budget range TVs...
Sky has the most HD content. And yet there still isn't that much, especially if you don't pay for sports or movies. Hell there are several channels on Sky that don't even broadcast in 16:9!! EVen the big 4 channels don't yet broadcast all their content in HD.
It's going to be another couple of years before the majority of TV channels broadcasting in HD
Joe Public likes convenient. HD TV's are slim line and take up less space than CRT TV's, that's as much a driving force behind HD TV sales as anything else. It is then easier for them to just reconnect their existing equipment at no extra cost, so that's what they do.
As HD digital boxes become standard people will slowly start to adopt it, but it isn't happening over night.
Now with current 3D tech you need glasses you need to be in an optimal position directly in front of the TV, anyone who bought a HD TV more than a year probably needs a new TV, perhaps new BR players, digital decoders etc etc, that's an inconvenience for most and will hold back adoption a LOT. I mean I don't know that many people that have a chair right in front of their TV. The TV fit's into the existing layout of the lounge, not the other way around.
And as for 7.1 HD, well in my groups of friends/family I'm the only person who has any kind of surround sound, and it's only 5.1. As with 3D, surround really only works if you have a couch right in front of the telly to get the best experience. I keep telling my mates how good surround is but no one seems that interested.
It's all a bit to much effort for most people who simply don't give enough of a shit. Yeah I'm sure attitudes to this will change as technology becomes standard, but it will be very slow. It's going to be 3 to 5 years before 3D in the home is probably even near 50% penetration.
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Sorry, I couldn't help that.
No seriously, with government budgets being squeezed and this affecting the general public and their expenditure, not forgetting that some people have just invested in HD television sets (that don't have any 3D support), I think the whole 3D thing may take a long time and be ripe (in all aspects - price, technology, standards, support) just about the time when the PS4 and XBox 720 will be launched and not any time sooner.
However, there's no harm in enhancing the X360 API right now with 3D libraries and have the developers ready with a patch for all major games that have a 18 - 24 month dev cycle, starting at the end of this year. That will mean MS will keep up without having to invest in all aspects of 3D just yet. So the tech will be there but the marketing will come later, when the market (presumably) 'explodes'.
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In 4-5 years time there will be quad-HD and 4K displays, and people will be moaning that games consoles are "only" rendering at 1080p and not 4K. Plus ça change.
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Fair play, I give Nitendo qudos for maybe getting it right (time will tell) but for me, i just don't really care about 3D.
Jaws 3D = Awsome..........20 yrs ago!
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""Kinect for 360 is big for France, Italy, Germany and Spain, where there is a market for the casual gaming appetite that we can now address without the physical barrier of the controller," said Lewis. "
Germany is PC country so fuck off MS!
Waggle yourself to death...
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Battlefield: Bad Company 2
Biohazard 5
Lost Planet 2
Metro 2033: The Last Refuge
Supersonic Sled Demo
Batman: Arkham Asylum
Just Cause 2
Mafia II
Resident Evil 5
Stone Giant
Still though, screw 3D for consoles. I'm all for letting PC users experiment first, with cheaper 120hz+ 3D displays that don't cost the earth.
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Playstation can do 3D now, and will have 3D BluRay playback enabled in a month or so. Nintendo have their 3DS, what do MS have...? I'm sure they'll be playing down the whole 3D thing for a little while yet...
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The "awkward fact" as you put it, is that we're already seeing a lot of multiplatform games from the third party suffer significant content cuts now due to this limitation of the 360 (FF13, Lost Planet 2 and RAGE have all had an entire game's worth of content cut according to their producers) and this will become more prevalent next year unless publishers drop the 360 platform in favour of launching with all of the planned content intact.
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Unless the only difference you're alluding to is that Mass Effect 2 had to come on two DVDs instead of one Bluray, and I had to get up and swap the discs twice in 35+ hours?
Until we're seeing the PS3 exclusives demonstrating the gap, to all practical purposes it doesn't exist, or exists only in potential that 1st party and exclusive 3rd party developers are not realising for some other reason than the Xbox's limitations.