Gaikai predicts Sony or Microsoft to bow out of next gen
"That will be the big news at E3."
One of the three main platform holders doesn't have the stomach for the next generation of console hardware, according to a top exec at game streaming service Gaikai.
As reported by IndustryGamers, chief product officer Nanea Reeves told an audience at CES in Las Vegas today that she anticipates that one of the main platform holders will decide not to launch another round of hardware.
"Not all of the current console makers will have one more generation. That will be the big news at E3," she said.
With Nintendo already prepping the Wii U, that leaves either Sony or Microsoft. Grab yourself a pinch of salt and place your bets.
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Comments (180) Latest comment 4 months ago
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cant really imagine Sony giving up on things though so a bit of a nothing story
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I don't think they can afford to be too far behind MS in releasing the PS4. However if they decide to go left field it may buy them some time and steal a march on MS regardless of whether they bring out a new XBox.
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thick as sh*t though
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We'll have all three I reckon but saying that is has happened before, ask SEGA...
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bull. shit.
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Massive bullshit. There is absolutely no reason to believe they won't release a new console. There is only one thing to discuss: Will it be 2013 or 2014.
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still talking shit though
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Seems like this is based on what he would like rather than anything even remotely likely to happen.
MS - Moneypit
Sony - Won't stop competing
Nintendo - Moneypit 2 and Wii U already announced.
They new consoles might come later than expected, but they will come from both MS and Sony.
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Maybe Sony ditches the market but I very very highly doubt that although I'm sure they will be the late comers to the party.
However what happens after the next gen will be interesting.
If Nintendo manage to put out a competitive console that not just sucks in the casual but HC crowd as well then there might not be a PS5 from Sony but thats too far away to specualte about.
Sony should release their console simultaneously or at least very close with M$ or they will be palying second fiddle again. May even lose some seriouse face/sales.
With Nintendo releasing theirs early, M$ have a good chance of getting a rather large head start if Sony don't pull their heads out of their arses.
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Those gamers expecting a super powerful PS4/NextBox need to wake up and stop dreaming about hardware they're never going to get.
http://www.computerandvideogames.com/303367/playstation-4-cheaper-to-make-than-ps3-sony/
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It's hard to see the need for a dedicated console in 2020AD when many people have fast broadband access (either cable or wireless) and want the freedom to play their games from multiple devices connected to the cloud.
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That is what cost them in the early years of the PS3, and it was also the reason that Sony wasn't able to cut the price of the system when it was needed. This time around, Sony probably won't make the same mistake again. Ken Kuturagi is gone (all his accomplishments aside, he went a bit insane during his final years at Sony), they won't spend billions of dollars on the development of a new processor and it's very unlikely that the PS4 will use a new disc-format.
What I'm trying to say is that it is very well possible that the next generation of systems can be powerhouses and be reasonably cheap to produce at the same time. Granted, they won't come with an SSD drive, but they will be quite a step forward.
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Well done for falling for it EG
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But does she know something, or is it bullshit.
Sir Howard Stringer said at CES today that Sony's future lies in it's "four screen strategy" of laptops, smartphones, televisions, and tablets all offering a Sony Entertainment Network interface for a range of content.
He talked about content and hardware, and maybe having Sony Pictures movies exclusively on their SEN platform, but he didn't mention PlayStation (caveat: not in the reports I've seen).
Hrm...
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Cant say I'd miss them tbh..
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What she clearly meant to say is that the next-gen will have A NEW CHALLANGER; said to be Sega and the Dreamcast 2. Launch titles will be "The Shenmue Saga", a completed next gen version of the series, Jet Set Radio Online, Panzar Dragoon Saga next-gen remake, skies of arcadia 2 and a re-acquisition of bizarre games studio (will bring the team back) to make MSR 2.
I jest. It will launch with Sonic Adventure 3.
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It's amazing the amount of rumours that are coming out at present from so called 'analysts' and 'very high level sources' that completely contradict eachother.
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Wouldn't work with my Virgin media connection in Brighton though. It's crap before 10pm.
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I'm more likley to trip up, fall and insert my penis into Angelina Jolie
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Sony lost it's arese as did ms with thier current gen console launches for a while.
It's not beyond the realms of possiblility. Can't wait to see if it turns out to be true.
I'd bet on MS not Sony. Sony are too stuck in the mud to deviate now but there is the tie in to smart TV's.
MS on the other hand has no other hardware. Could try the tivo approach but I can see 5 years form now that consoles will be dead and it'll be smart TV's and hand helds.
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I guess that means we can trust in her judgement.
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The way future consoles are introduced might change a lot. They may go Nintendo and stop upgrading the graphics. They may go Apple and try a rapid-release method with smaller upgrades. Heck, they might even go full cloud some day but not anytime soon.
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How's Gaikai doing anyway ?
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Personally, I think Nintendo may just go hand held in the future (obviously beyond Wii U) and move to tablets. Their games generally don't need all the horse power that is required. They have Art style.
Expect pad devices to completely dominate the casual market and guess what Nintendo have a pad controller.
Anything is possible at MS after all they killed their tablet off and they are hoping to ride the new wave of Win 7/8 tablets etc. Never been good at hardware at all its not their strong suite. PC sales are down (see their latest revenue warning) this trend may continue. But I can't see them dropping their brand in the home.
Smarter TVs are coming and when Sony built their chip it was supposed to be able to be used in TVs. Certainly would give them a huge push in a very competitive market segment. Sony still keep their brand in the home.
Also there are a bunch of streaming game services now so you never know this may be a co-incidence.
But to the person bagging on EG for reporting news you can't really say that if its announcement it should be reported. Whether you choose to read it is completely up to you.
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If they had billions to waste like that they could at least blow it in style. Like, i don't know, build a giant cock that ejaculates the words "Fuck you" every 10 minutes and send it into space
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It would be quite easy to make a reasoned argument for Microsoft dropping out or them(all) changing direction, due to social networking eroding the influence of TV today and the relevance of a home console.
Nintendo could easily migrate to a publisher on Playstation/Xbox if another player such as LG or Samsung joined the fray, and with the Wii U specs undecided a change of heart to migrate to PS3 and Move wouldn't be bad business for them.
Sony could just change direction and publish on everything(including the PC) through Playstation Suite, make use of their large portfolio of Ips(Music, Film, TV) and development teams they've invested in to make up for Playstation representing 70% of their business(iirc).
Microsoft could just take the Xbox brand back to Windows to help relaunch Window's relevance with today's social Android/iDevice consumers. And that would coincide with them launching Windows 8, which they hope to unify and convert their PC market share into the mobile & tablet space.
But it still doesn't sound likely, now they've all sold alot of product this generation.
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Name of thing you've never heard of plastered on every gaming news site for free.
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However, given the greed rife in the industry and the lack of content or consumer willingness to buy into the hype anymore. The trend in console gaming sales can only continue downwards.
The sensible business mind would have to say "Billions in r and d and manufacture on a new console that isn't going to pay/break even for 4-5 years is commercial suicide at this time". In my book that kind of sanity smells awfully like Microsoft. They can quite easily fall back to producing hardware for the PC market instead. Perhaps streaming from the PC plug-in card to a dumb box attached to your HD TV. This allows for great graphics, processing power, memory and minimal hardware costs.
The less sensible business mind would have to go with Sony. The vita isn't taking off like it should. Losses throughout the company have been dire and then spending billions on new in home hardware at this time would most likely kill sony as a brand. Given the recession, the downward trend in software sales and that the money for consoles is made on the software not hardware. A new playstation now would be like announcing that you're cutting your head off and carrying it around with you i.e. suicide.
My predicition for reality is going to have to be no new consoles announced at all but, new add on hardware in the form of the kinect 2 and maybe the move 2 with a better camera and accuracy (anyone who's played overkill will feel my pain for move). The kinect 2 will most likely re-instate the hardware that was removed from the first unit. Given that that hardware made the prototype kinect strangely capable of exactly what microsoft claim a new kinect will be able to do.
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They can't afford it. VITA is their next gen.
Shame they probably don't know how to market it.
REMEMBER - Krazy Ken fell on his sword trying to make PS3 a Trojan Horse futureproof console with EVERYTHING.
They bet the farm on PS3, and it launched with 256MB RAM.
They had no chance. They wanted it to be like a VCR or CD player, that sells on an evergreen basis for 15+ years.
edit: Unless it's just a wishful thinking marketing ploy.
/waits...
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Nope, she just got Gaikai's name in news headlines on a bunch of game websites. What did you do today?
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Nintendo only needs its own games to survive, they don't have to release a next gen console and risk huge losses when they can just release something that is slightly more powerful than PS360. They basically did the same thing with Wii, it was just slightly better Gamecube tech. It's cheap and obviously it worked for them.
Microsoft won't leave the business now that they finally make money instead of burning it.
Sony ... well I guess after how this gen went I could see them not wanting to do the same just yet. But would they let Microsoft take the lead again and this time with three or four years in advance? I doubt it. So the only thing Sony will do different is to not use proprietary hardware like the Cell. That would've worked if Cell had actually ended up as the go-to chip for every TV and entertainment product, as planned by IBM and Sony. But it didn't and so Cell is dead for consumer products.
Leaves only Nintendo. Nintendo enters the current gen with Wii U, skips the next gen and then release a new console as the early starters of the next next gen around 2020.
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Yeah, consoles will be better next gen, but they won't be as powerful as many think. I just wouldn't go expecting 4GB of RAM (low latency RAM isn't cheap!), a 580 GTX level GPU or a CPU equivalent to a Intel i5/7.
You only need to look around gaming forums to see this is the hardware some naive console gamers are expecting the PS4/NextBox to pack. It's laughable, not to mention, unsustainable.
MS has already indicated it wants to make a profit, from day one, on the NextBox, just like the Wii. Plus with Sony cutting the funding for PS4 hardware, it only denotes the fact that both firms don't want to lose money on any hardware they sell, from day one.
Powerful hardware costs money, lots of it and Sony/MS don't want to go there with their next gen hardware.
Lets face it, Sony/MS are after the casual markets with their next hardware and the casual market don't care what inside the box.
I personally believe the PS4/NextBox will only be marginally better than the PS3/360, much like the Wii was when contrasted next to the Gamecube.
Nintendo opened Sony's and Microsoft's eyes this gen with regards to low cost hardware that makes a profit from day one and you can bet next gen Sony and MS will follow Nintendo's ideology.
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I think Next Gen will be quite powerful just not as a big leap like last gen. Still fixed hardware does have advantages.
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#downwiththeyoof
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Lol at the smart tv thing.
They'll never be a replacement for more dedicated gaming devices ( including stuff like iPads ). TVs aren't disposable enough... while I can see the value as media players since the power for that is cheap enough the life time of the screen is too long too compete with a separate device that can be refreshed cheaper and more often.
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I guess I'll be upgrading my gaming PC!
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Sadly, on reflection... you make several very valid points...
edit: Plus MS would become dicks if they only had Apple, Ninty, Gaikai and Onlive as competition.
Nintendo have already had them do an about face in terms of strategy.
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"Not all of the current console makers will have one more generation. That will be the big news at E3," she said.
I suppose that could be taken to mean "only one more gen"
Which therefore she can save face on by saying "what I meant was that several console makers have plans for another generation AFTER the next one"
So saying nothing at all, basically.
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And what is she basing this on? A gut feeling?
Actually, I equate a "gut feeling" to "pull out of ass" - that's where the gut eventually leads to anyway
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I'm not expecting to hear anything about Playstation 4. I am happy with Playstation 3. I am in no rush for another new console. To be fair, few have managed to get to grips with PS3 and X360. There's little hope for next gen anyway.
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Oh man, if only.
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Gaikai is doing badly and they desperately need some publicity. And who better than EG for repeating baseless stories?
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http://www.eurogamer.net/articles/2011-11-23-game-groups-share-price-nose-dives
I know it has got a little worse for them since then, but it'd be almost the same story.
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Microsoft has spent billions on getting to where it is now. They aren't going to drop.
Sony makes money from the PlayStation brand while other parts of Sony make losses, they aren't going to drop.
One of them might delay their console launch, possibly Sony purely to see how the market goes and get a bit more out of the current console.
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I very much doubt it though because from what I've read the Vita hardware isn't exactly profitable either and is sold at a small loss. And after the relative failure of the PSP (compared with Nintendo's dominating DS) it would be suicidal for Sony to drop its more popular gaming platform. If anything I would have expected Sony to have abandoned the handheld market and focused on the the PS console.
I can't imagine the games industry without Sony and the PlayStation but there again who would have thought SEGA would pack in when it ditched the Dreamcast in 2001? In this industry anything can and does happen.
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Game shares dropped 40% to 4p after the retailer said UK like-for-like sales tumbled 15.2% in the eight weeks to 7 January.
You can't tell me it's the same story after hundreds of Battlefield/COD stories a year get published here.
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Sony will re use alot from PS3 imo
Good news for consumers as console wont be over priced.
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He's firmly in the 'looking like a tit' catagory.
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That's a nice bit of free advertising this "exec" has just got for Gaikai, who I had not previously heard of.
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My very first thought. It's FUD.
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Personally, I'd happily buy X360 games for the next 3-4 years if the games are entertaining and of good quality. This would also save me having to spend £250-£300 (probably more) on a new console.
However, not taking part in the next gen sends out a potentially bad PR message to consumers, in that it could make the company appear weaker than the competition, and the user base could diminish if a lot of people leap to a new next gen console.
The technology market is and has always been about moving forward and advancing technology and finding something else that the consumer "needs to buy" and I can't see this changing.
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But in their original 10year plan to be the number name and dominate gaming they haven't achieved that; and coupled with the trend of their desktop OS becoming less and less relevant in all our lives, their investment though huge is still small compared to what they stand to loose; if they don't focus more on their core business presence(desktop PC) and stop its decline in the profitable backoffice. And in a way that avoids a repeat of the antitrust problems they've had in the past.
The more I think about it, the more it makes sense for Microsoft to take the Xbox and Kinect brands and use them as two separate SKU lines for selling Windows on mobile, tablet and PC.
You then might have a Windows 8 Kinect edition; overlapping mobile, tablet and the old starter and home basic editions, Windows 8 Xbox edition; all Kinect's functionality and the replacement for Home Premium, and then finishing with a Windows 8 overlapping Xbox functionality, but as a consolidation of Professional and Ultimate editions for productivity use.
This would then free them to also publish anything like Halo on WiiU and PS4 as a means to sell their relevance through both other companies strategies to refeed their home OS business.
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Stringer has said Sony's future is Laptops, Smartphones, Televisions and Tablets.
The PS3 achieved one of its main strategies - to get Blu-Ray in homes. They don't have a new format to push this time which makes a repeat investment and running at a loss a lot harder to justify.
Their 1st Party studios are where the money is and the shareholders can see that they could push those to a far wider audience on other consoles, PC, phones, TVs, streaming etc etc.
Given it's financial woes and restructuring that has already taken place, if you was in charge wouldn't you push PSN on to all your devices, sell your software/media on all devices, and re-market the PS3 tech (which is still very good tech for a large number of users) by integrating it into TVs, BD Players etc, along with a true £130 slim version which could sell at a profit for years to come?
I think I would.
(Of course I could think of equal arguments for MS bowing out too, if it weren't for the dev kits....)
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Also, a load of tosh, obviously - even if MS is moving the Xbox platform more toward social / multimedia interaction (like with the new dash and Kinect) - we'll still have a box or dedicated platform of sorts. In fact, surely if Gaikai and OnLive got their act together they could just provide the Big 3's inevitable Cloud Gaming for them under the guise of PSN / XNLA / Wii-Uware- why bother competing? They won't win on their own.
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Either of these could be imaginable, given microsoft's expertise outside the games industry, and the fact Sony have already said they're not announcing anything soon.
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I cannot see Sony pulling out just yet tho. They still have a large and loyal fanbase. Most likely they will hold off on another console for 5 or 6 years.
And like you said a £130 PS3 would sell like hotcakes.
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Neither Sony or Microsoft will drop their platform, since they've invested too much into this whole thing.
So, bullshit call.
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I'm sure Microsoft right up until management decided to pull the plug on Zune in October of last year had the Zune hardware people still doing their work as usual. So the existence of 720 PC styled devkits don't actually mean a great deal from a wealth company like Microsoft who could afford to write the money off, and especially when writing a hardware emulator to work on a Windows PC(of performance index X) would be a way to change course at minimal cost, and still meeting contractual obligations with publishing partners.
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One of the best things MS could do is start licensing Kinect tech out to TV manufacturers, so they build it - and the Metro-based OS - into their TVs right from the start. Voice control is the way forward!
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Fucking stupid and a pathetic way to get hits.
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For Sony and Microsoft to team up and release a single console between them. Microsoft could design the hardware, Sony could make it, Microsoft could create the interface and online features and Sony (plus third-parties obviously) could provide the games.
Imagine that?
Given that exclusives are massively outnumbered by multiformat games available on both platforms I personally would really like to see that. A PlayBox or XStation if you will! It would certainly save me money on the hardware and put an end to fan-boy arguments about which system is better for games.
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Microsoft are in effect the replacement for SEGA. I do not want another console tempting me to buy it!
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That deals never work out with Microsoft. Even when they are the ones that go cap-in-hand as the licensee, they always do something to show their true colours, whether it was OpenGL with Silicon Graphics, Java with Sun Microsystems, Novel, IBM, HP, Compaq, Sega, Apple, and now Nokia by the looks of things.
From their track record, you'd have to be as arrogant as the guy promoting COD to think you would ever come out of a deal with them better than you went in.
It is a nice idea of yours(other than Microsoft no less about electrical engineering than Sony have forgotten), but a joint venture from Nintendo, Sega and Sony would have been the only viable industry solution for a great single platform and great games with innovation. Each of those companies have gaming as their everything, rather than it just a side interest.
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Le sigh.
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They already used the PS3 to win the HD format war, and nowadays their tv division needs all the help it can get.
Edited to add: This all assuming this person is privvy to some inside information and not just shooting her mouth. I personally would expect all the present players to be there for the next gen.
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Personally i can sick of lots of sites doing this tabloid crap and then not calling them up on it, or actually changing the meaning of the quote for hits..
So contact her and ask her what she meant... thats reporting
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Those manufacturers have to plan 5 years ahead and I think there is a time for risky investments and a time for prudent saving of resources and reducing risks of bad investments. Right now I don't think the next five years gonna be the leisure, party, money is no issue years for a lot of people.
So for the PS3 maybe a new version of the slim with improved chip size and when they enter the new round I hope they are prudent and smart about the costs.
Oh and strengthen the exclusives to differentiate from the competitors.
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"What? ...did you say something..oh okay, nevermind"
*looks back at PC*
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Wishful thinkning by Gaikai?
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Given that over the next couple of years we could possibly see Europe, USA and China all imploding financially, who's going to be buying these new boxes?
Just look at the unemployment rate in Spain and then the key Games buying demographic. Frightening and coming to a country near you soon.
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If MS will bow out, it will be to let others manufacture specificationlocked hardware with different looks, and minimal modification. Xbox belongs in the livingroom - wii and ps notsomuch.
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the playstation has gone from being a simple side product for Sony in the 90s to practically its flagship product, unless we see a large rampant attempt to boost the other portions of the business soon they wont bow out.
MS are admittedly concentrating on the tablet market at the minute, attempting to gun for Apple's place however there would be little reason for MS to axe their dedicated xbox team especially given the success of the xbox in this gen
Nintendo however is a different story. Despite it being written off in the article. If the WiiU bombs(which I think it will, not due to any allegiance but because they only managed to shift hardware this gen so many software companies will likely stay away or at the very least casual gamers will fail to buy the console) then Nintendo may limp through the next gen and leave when that ends (probably concentrating on mobile gaming, DS3 or something)
...That being said I'm calling BS for all three companies and say that these guys are drumming up false news in order to get attention to their own product, if so tut tut
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I'm guessing with the US Navy being reported as one of Sony's customers for PS3 Cell's data processing capabilities(I'm thinking Costner film: No Way Out). I doubt their hardware development balance will contain all the figures they are due to make just yet, over its lifetime in production.
And if it has still been that useful for DNA sequencing to find cures, at the likes of the Standford folding project, space photograph processing (probably with NASA), I'm sure they've got a few important shareholders that are possibly more interested in the development of the Cell 2 chip and used in a commercial product to make it cheaper by sales volume, than the financial performance of Sony & Playstation at any specific point in time.
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4G is already around the corner. Rolling out now in the US and about 18 months away for much of Europe. 4G promises speeds of at least 100gbps, so no need for broadband connections at all.
In austere times such as these, the trend moves towards consumers favouring purchases with low initial outlay, even if long term costs are greater.
MS don't have a next gen optical medium. They may try to reinvigorate HD-DVD but that would involve a hugely expensive marketing battle against the now-established Blu-ray.
Gamers are already being primed and prepared to accept cloud gaming.
So, this will mean that the majority of us will be able to play powerful games without MS releasing expensive and risky hardware.
The problems with this for us gamers are that we will have to subscribe to expensive 'Gamer Pro' 4G services to get the required bandwidth and will never really 'own' our games anymore.
The masses (not us core gamers, who will become more and more marginalised) will love the low price of the new DumbX, and will be marketed millions of cheap games. The AAA titles will still be available on disk for current 360 owners, but I fear that the 720 will never arrive. By the time our 360s die, the market will have started to accept the digital distribution model completely.
I really hope this doesn't however and would love to be wrong.
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It was just an opinion...
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If its games all run at 1080p I'll be amazed.
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Note to fanboys. The playstation division contributed a third of of sony's electronics division revenue. Keep hoping.
Sony is not sega.
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your totally wrong!
you should look up some history about game consoles and gaming machines lol, xbox defoe did not pave the way..you just sound like a big fanboy who aint got a clue what he is talking about lol.
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Nintendo are saying we will see a much clearer idea of what to expect from the wiiu this E3.
From this, Id say that this claim is false.
Maybe The gen after this one may see someone drop out, But i think thats too hard to predict.
We saw how things changed for sony from PS2 to PS3. Right now, Its seeming like Nintendo may not last too much longer in the hardware business, But we could see a massive change with the Wiiu.
Based on what we know now, Id say nintendo are most likley to be leaving the console side of things.
But we never know how badly someone can mess things up with this upcoming generation.
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The race there after will go like this....... Nintendo; complete flop (the ony people playing the Wii are my parents, who are grandparrents, no one else really cares). Microsoft will clean up by bridging all the gaps and sony will be late to the party with too much power and no direction.