Another Random Musings Thread Page 509

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  • glaeken 3 Dec 2012 12:04:22 11,266 posts
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    You'd certainly think that. As I said Mythbusters did it and it made a massive difference. It's not a slight advantage it actually ends up doubling your chances. It certainly hurts my brain thinking about why it works though.

    I do think I understand it but somewhere inside I still don't quite believe it works.

    Edited by glaeken at 12:05:03 03-12-2012
  • RedSparrows 3 Dec 2012 12:06:47 24,297 posts
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    Ah ok - I'm just happy with recognising the problem. That kind of probability/statistical analysis is beyond me.
  • sport 3 Dec 2012 12:16:00 12,816 posts
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    To simplify it, let's say you go to pet shop to buy a puppy:

    There are 3.
    You choose puppy 1.
    The pet shop owner then says that it's good you didn't choose puppy 3 coz he's a shit.
    He then says "Are you sure I can't tempt you with puppy 2, young man?"
    The trick is to always choose puppy 2, coz that will be the best puppy.

    Hope that clears it up.
  • Psychotext 3 Dec 2012 12:19:00 55,057 posts
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    Is it psychological though? Because surely that would have affected the results when mythbusters tested it.
  • glaeken 3 Dec 2012 12:31:18 11,266 posts
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    No it's pure probability. I am not sure if it's on-line but it's worth checking out the Mythbusters episode on this as it was covered from all angles. You can give it a go on the below.

    http://www.nytimes.com/2008/04/08/science/08monty.html

    Just try always switching vs. sticking and see what your results are. After 20 tries I won 85% of the time by switching.

    Edited by glaeken at 12:33:47 03-12-2012
  • LeoliansBro 3 Dec 2012 12:35:19 44,966 posts
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    The Monty Hall problem works because the quizmaster is acting based on knowing the he will be removing an unwanted box.

    LB, you really are a massive geek.

  • ModishNouns 3 Dec 2012 13:15:07 4,664 posts
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    Disappointed the cycling thread is not the same four posts repeated over and over.
  • Load_2.0 3 Dec 2012 13:48:26 19,681 posts
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    In an IT induction and the guy has an wild Dutch accent.

    He sounds like a very bad Arnie impersonator.

    You mhaast daarble kliek to lahg ahn.
  • Load_2.0 4 Dec 2012 13:09:14 19,681 posts
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    Mash potato and chips for lunch? Uncouth?

    No, thanks to masterchef it is simply potatoes two ways!
  • billythekid 4 Dec 2012 13:11:16 11,403 posts
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    Irish mixed grill.
  • kickerconspiracy 4 Dec 2012 13:14:03 494 posts
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    I'm thinking about making a text adventure called "Really Upsetting Garden"
  • Psychotext 4 Dec 2012 13:19:18 55,057 posts
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    My petunias! :(
  • Load_2.0 4 Dec 2012 13:21:22 19,681 posts
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    Snail inflicts critical damage!
  • localnotail 4 Dec 2012 13:21:30 23,093 posts
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    Oh no, not again.

    A strange game. The only winning move is not to play.

  • billythekid 4 Dec 2012 13:28:29 11,403 posts
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    Throw salt at snail
  • Deleted user 4 December 2012 13:31:41
    Gah I'm now the main point of contact for every bloody problem in the business. I miss just being someone's bitch :-(
  • Rusty_M 4 Dec 2012 13:34:09 4,949 posts
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    Snail evaded

    The world is going mad. Me? I'm doing fine.
    http://www.twitch.tv/rusty_the_robot
    http://twitter.com/Rusty_The_Robot

  • chopsen 4 Dec 2012 14:14:06 16,290 posts
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    Eat snail
  • LockeTribal 4 Dec 2012 14:23:54 4,540 posts
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    You have elected to eat the snail.


    The snail catches in your throat because you forgot to REMOVE the SHELL.

    You are dead.

    GAME OVER
  • Psychotext 4 Dec 2012 14:56:44 55,057 posts
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    I got the throat strength upgrade from eating the radishes. My biggest problem is that my garden is lacking in manure and there's only so much the PR horses can provide. :(
  • LeoliansBro 4 Dec 2012 15:04:49 44,966 posts
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    Snail uses TASTES DISGUSTING.

    It's SUPER EFFECTIVE.

    LB, you really are a massive geek.

  • Razz 4 Dec 2012 15:59:17 61,664 posts
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    ( ͜ʖ)

    --------------------------------------------------------------------
    Steam/PSN/XBOX: Razztafarai | 3DS: 1246-9674-8856
    --------------------------------------------------------------------

  • kickerconspiracy 4 Dec 2012 16:17:12 494 posts
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    My girlfriend asked me if she could widdle on my siddly diddlies.
  • L_Franko Moderator 4 Dec 2012 16:40:59 9,697 posts
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    She's possessed. Exorcise her.
  • Rusty_M 4 Dec 2012 16:48:31 4,949 posts
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    Is that a line from Spasticus Autisticus?

    The world is going mad. Me? I'm doing fine.
    http://www.twitch.tv/rusty_the_robot
    http://twitter.com/Rusty_The_Robot

  • localnotail 4 Dec 2012 16:51:41 23,093 posts
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    ARRRRRRGGGGH PINSANDNEEDLES!!!

    A strange game. The only winning move is not to play.

  • kickerconspiracy 4 Dec 2012 17:09:48 494 posts
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    Widdling, griddling, skittling, diddling,
    fiddling, diddling, widdling, diddling spasticus
  • MrTomFTW Moderator 4 Dec 2012 17:11:17 39,806 posts
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    If there's a zombie outbreak in Vegas, does it stay in Vegas?

    Follow me on Twitter: @MrTom
    Voted by the community "Best mod" 2011, 2012 and 2013.

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