You'd certainly think that. As I said Mythbusters did it and it made a massive difference. It's not a slight advantage it actually ends up doubling your chances. It certainly hurts my brain thinking about why it works though.|
I do think I understand it but somewhere inside I still don't quite believe it works.
Edited by glaeken at 12:05:03 03-12-2012
Another Random Musings Thread • Page 509
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Ah ok - I'm just happy with recognising the problem. That kind of probability/statistical analysis is beyond me.
sport 13,479 posts
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To simplify it, let's say you go to pet shop to buy a puppy:
There are 3.
You choose puppy 1.
The pet shop owner then says that it's good you didn't choose puppy 3 coz he's a shit.
He then says "Are you sure I can't tempt you with puppy 2, young man?"
The trick is to always choose puppy 2, coz that will be the best puppy.
Hope that clears it up.
Is it psychological though? Because surely that would have affected the results when mythbusters tested it.
No it's pure probability. I am not sure if it's on-line but it's worth checking out the Mythbusters episode on this as it was covered from all angles. You can give it a go on the below.
Just try always switching vs. sticking and see what your results are. After 20 tries I won 85% of the time by switching.
Edited by glaeken at 12:33:47 03-12-2012
ModishNouns 4,988 posts
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Disappointed the cycling thread is not the same four posts repeated over and over.
In an IT induction and the guy has an wild Dutch accent.
He sounds like a very bad Arnie impersonator.
You mhaast daarble kliek to lahg ahn.
Mash potato and chips for lunch? Uncouth?
No, thanks to masterchef it is simply potatoes two ways!
Irish mixed grill.
I'm thinking about making a text adventure called "Really Upsetting Garden"
Snail inflicts critical damage!
Oh no, not again.
Throw salt at snail
Gah I'm now the main point of contact for every bloody problem in the business. I miss just being someone's bitch
chopsen 18,056 posts
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LockeTribal 4,636 posts
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You have elected to eat the snail.
The snail catches in your throat because you forgot to REMOVE the SHELL.
You are dead.
I got the throat strength upgrade from eating the radishes. My biggest problem is that my garden is lacking in manure and there's only so much the PR horses can provide.
Razz 62,762 posts
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My girlfriend asked me if she could widdle on my siddly diddlies.
L_Franko Moderator 9,695 posts
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She's possessed. Exorcise her.
Is that a line from Spasticus Autisticus?
Widdling, griddling, skittling, diddling,
fiddling, diddling, widdling, diddling spasticus
MrTomFTW Best Moderator, 2015 44,347 posts
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If there's a zombie outbreak in Vegas, does it stay in Vegas?
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