COD sub-based by end of the year?
Pachter says so.
Activision will charge gamers to play first-person shooter behemoth Call of Duty online by the end of the year, analyst Michael Pachter has predicted.
"Unless and until the publishers come up with a business model that appropriately captures the value created by the multiplayer experience," the gaming clairvoyant told Industry Gamers, "we are destined to see a migration of game playing away from packaged goods purchases and toward multiplayer online.
"While the shift has been great for consumers, who are enjoying an unprecedented, and largely free, game experience, it has been devastating for publishers and shareholders, who are seeing sales and profits decline.
"We think that it is incumbent upon Activision, with the most popular multiplayer game, to take the first step to address monetisation of multiplayer. It is too early to tell whether that will be a monthly subscription, tournament entry fees, microtransaction fees, or a combination of all three, but we expect to see the company take some action by year-end, when Call of Duty: Black Ops launches."
Pachter's prediction will be music to Activision CEO Bobby Kotick's ears. Tim Scafer's mate said last month that if he could do one thing, he would make Call of Duty "an online subscription service" as soon as tomorrow.
"The company has the greatest experience of the Western publishers with multiplayer subscriptions, given its huge success with World of Warcraft, and we expect Activision to apply a WoW-type model to its Call of Duty franchise," Pachter continued.
"It is likely that Activision will ease the pain of consumers, and will continue to offer some form of free multiplayer, at least for a while, but we believe it is imperative that the company begin to capture some value from the huge number of hours spent – 1.75 billion hours on Xbox Live alone through mid-April, and we estimate that this figure is approaching four billion hours combined through today on Xbox Live and PSN.
"We are quick to point out that the average single player game has an expected play time of under 30 hours, suggesting that a staggering 133 million units of equivalent game play have been spent (so far) playing Call of Duty online, with Activision only seeing revenues from the original 20 million units sold, plus an estimated eight million map packs sold."
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Comments (138) Latest comment 2 years ago
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Don't think MS will allow it myself. Seem to remember something about Champions Online being ready for the 360 but MS not sure how to handle subscription rates and it's still not been released.
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I'm a huge COD addict but I'll be done with the series if this happens.
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Although, they are the reason PC Gaming will never die.
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That's the sound of everybody opening their new copy of Bad Company 2
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I already pay to play on xbox live, I have paid Activision for their product, why the fuck should they get even more money?
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I can imagine there'd be a fair few people that would pay to go pro...
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A bit of sick came into my mouth
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Then again, they'd really have to keep updating weapons and maps (as Blizzard do in WOW) to justify any cost.
However, I'd love to see them charge for it, and people just flock to Battlefield or Steam to play CS or TF2 for free.
Have we been spoiled by all this "free" content from the likes of Valve?
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MAG on the PS3 is an online only title, yet Zipper doesn't moan about 'loss of revenue'.
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Who?
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Seriously though at £55 RRP for the game (not that anyone pays that) along with £10 a map pack (which you can't really play without because you'll get kicked from the game the moment it chooses a map you don't have.) They've already made £75 for the year out of each consumer (assuming there's no more map packs on the way). Then they can start again a year later when the yearly sequel is released.
They already over charge, just not by enough to put the kids off from playing it, which is the perfect amount as that way I don't have to deal with them in other games.
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Its simple from a business perspective, you have a product, you identify what people want from it and how to make them pay for it. You look at the revenue that comes in from it and all looks rosy. Although when it starts to encroach on customer experience, thats when the balance is wrong. Ok, its fair enough having to pay a bit extra for net on the phone, thats how things are going. Having to pay to plug it into your computer to use the net, thats ridiculous. Apply to COD, having to pay for the game, pay for maps, pay for online play on your platform ... fine, having to pay ongoing from then onwards for a multiplayer portion of a game. Thats pretty poor. I think MMO's can get away with it with all the maintenance costs and ongoing development, but I can see Acti just shitting the game out and saying "pay us now please" and thats it.
I think this is a particular crime from the 360 perspective, I'm not a big believer of having to pay to go online, but having to do it twice, thats just woeful. And that isn't anything I'm pointing at MS, thats at Acti.
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I can't be fucked with playing nerds online so doesn't really affect me.
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I unlocked the fucking multi-player content the moment I shelled out £40 for the game.
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Not that I have a problem with that.
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I'm not sure how it would work with their annual releases either. You don't see World of Warcraft 2, 3, 4 , 5, you just get expansions to the content (at least I think thats how it works).
Thinking about it, a large part of the COD audience are too young to have credit cards!
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*Goes back to playing epic single player free RPG Dragon Age: Origins*
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online fee for playing means me and everyone i know playing online will move on to another game.
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What about £1 a month?
From a publisher/developer point of view it makes sense, and as someone else mentions would allow them to put that money into releasing extra map packs free and more updates...
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Twats...this is where corporate exec's with no clue start slapping price tags on everything and killing communities and franchises in one hit.
It's popular because the team you let slip through your fingers, created a damn good game and guess what...we PAID for the fu***** game, so quit while your ahead. I really hope the Gaming community act in unison and DO NOT buy into this bullshit, if they do the model will be replicated and will become the norm. We already pay for GOLD for the ability to play online.
Where does this end? MWAHHHHHHHHHRFFFFFFFFFFFFFFGGGGGGGGGGGGGGG (screams) (lays claymore)
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If they had a constant stream of new maps, weapons and genuine features that are worth paying for then to a point fair enough.
If they want to charge for standard multiplayer, COD will die a horrible death
The greed and total lack of understanding of your average gamer by Activision is pretty frightening!
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What a moronic twat,
He makes the usual miskake of equating the demand for a free service with the demand for a paid one.
Secondly he ignores the fact that the content (i.e. playing against others) is actually provided by the public.
Finally I also note that pretty much every paid for pvp only focussed MMO has failed misrebly, and certainly would not come close to even a small fraction of these numbers
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What? How dare I make use of the content I paid for! As has been pointed out, the experience isn't free. You've paid for the boxed game, your own internet connection AND Xbox Live which coveres the hosting costs I assume. There's no cost to activision when I play online so why are they seeing "sales and profits decline"?? Is he suggesting that because people are playing online they're not buying new games anymore?
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Someone to shoot this guy.
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Usually the money flow does in the other direction when someone goes pro.
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A: MW2 - RRP £+50. SP= 7 hrs, MP=unlimited
B: BF:BC2 - RRP £+40. SP=12 hrs, MP=unlimited
C: COD:BO-RRP £+55. SP= 5 hrs, MP=£5 p.m. (will contain maps seen in MW2 and MW)
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Also, how long will Acti support online, once the new COD is ready support for existing online games will drop. Acti is moving the COD series away from SP and focusses on MP only, it used to be the other way around.
As someone else pointed out out, subscription-based business model requires a lot more non-stop input from the dev/publ. as well as many years of support. I don't see Acti providing that.
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Oh of course we all forgot about the poor publishers whose game sold about a bazillion copies, come on guys how can they afford their golden cutlery to match their golden kitchen if we don't pay up
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My heart bleeds, it really does. Would someone please think of the shareholders!
Free online multiplayer doesn't seem to have stymied the games industry for about the last 15 frickin' years, the only difference between then and now is greed. The trouble with subscription on CoD is that its unprecedented success is thanks to casual and semi-hardcore gamers, bring in subscriptions and you'll most likely lose them. Especially on platforms like XBL where they already have to pay subs to Microsoft.
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Multiplayer is part of the original product purchased and i fail to see why it should be paid for beyond the cost of getting the game in the first instance. Especially when XBL is usually hosted peer to peer and not on servers, except for stat logging- where is activisions additional cost incurred there?
If you want to bring in microtransaction for other *balanced* weapons/items then good luck to you, but i won't be having any of that nonsense, or paying an additional fee for multiplayer.
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Multiplayer has been part of games for decades, just because it is more popular does not mean you have the right to start making us pay by the hour for it.
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So, we buy the game, pay for our net connection, pay for XBL (or not if on PC), use our own hardware to host the games and they still think they deserve a piece of that action?
Let me spell this out. No money when there is no added value. Once the game is bought, cept for auth and stats etc etc, their (Activision) involvment to me looks very small. So they can fuck off thinking they can squeeze some money out of that.
No value, no money, simple.
So, BFBC2 anyone?
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How many people would pay for a monthly sub, even if the gamer buys just 1 month it's extra money activision are getting.
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Is this the most bullshit measurement of the day?
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ABOUT FUCKING TIME.
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Read all about it -> New Call of Duty game fails to meet the shareholders sales figures after gamers are turned off for paying a £1 a minute to play online, one shareholder was quoted as saying:
"We want gamers to understand that our gold-plated toilet paper doesn't pay for itself and that we need every single penny"
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""While the shift has been great for consumers, who are enjoying an unprecedented, and largely free, game experience, it has been devastating for publishers and shareholders, who are seeing sales and profits decline."
How much money was it that COD:MW2 made?
I call bullshit. Get outta here!
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Tournament entry fees? No a bad idea, might keep some of the harder-core COD loonies away.
Microtransations? yeah, right.
Hey, I've got an amazing idea, how about continuing to produce value for money content for the game over its online life-time, instead of trying to screw us out of every penny?
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Ah, dreams.
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Gamers are paying microsoft to play online with live so go ask them for some cash and leave us alone. Gamers are not a bottomless pit of money to be gouged and every opportunity. If they do charge it makes a mockery of a gold subcription on xbox and I for one will go back to Counter Strike and Valve products.
Anyway didnt Actishit make a load of cash off COD:MW2 so what exactly are they complaining about. How dare people get value from their products seems to be their line of argument!
Why not just allow people play the single player part of the game once and if they want to play again they have to pay more cos that seems to be next logical step in their bullshit theory.
Oh and Kotick is a total prick
End Friday afternoon rant.
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However they will do it, from a business standpoint I can see the appeal to them , now they need to make it appeal to us.
Maybe 1.99 per month to play on their servers with no lag and new maps every month and new weapons and outfits etc , events for easter/Christmas/new year etc , but also offer a totally free service like the current system where play is on someones system.
Guys ...be honest ..how many 'free' MMO's are out there yet WoW still have 12 mill plus subscribers.
"I already pay for xbox subs, I aint paying more" ...I understand that statement but you will pay more we all do in the end.
I paid for a TV, then I paid more for SKY , then I paid more for movies and sports , then I paid more for HD, then I paid more for PPV events .
As someone said already if you want something you will pay for it, and I believe ( I dont want to myself) people WILL pay for the prestige of playing on the main servers and tournaments and maps etc.
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I agree. The same thing happened with the map packs, a few people I know were disgusted then they started convincing themselves that they'd better get it anyway:
"my friends will all buy them"
"its not that much when you think about it"
"its the only game I play online"
I'm worried the same thing will happen when the subscriptions roll in.
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If they do charge a sub I choose an alternative plain and simple.
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I traded MW2 when the map packs came out and I swear I won't buy the next one. Activision make millions out of Call of Duty and they want even more. Its just pure greed, greed greed. Fuck them all.
(EDIT and why the hell have Bungie signed up to these greed merchants.)
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I think i paid like £10 or something for TF2 and it is constantly being updated - valve treat people so nice i almost feel bad lol
Subscriptions can fuck right the shit off
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If there is any migration away from mw2 I hope they stay the fuck away from BC2 and let the decent folk get on with it.
Bobby can charge per bullet for all I care.
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really, the world is upside down, people will have to start standing against these greed monsters.
this is not progress, civilization has been made hostage of these capitalist bloodsuckers.
personally, I couldn't care less about CoD, since I dislike such garbage, but I feel sorry for the millions who have fun with it.
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This will no doubt cripple you and we can all have a good laugh.
You cunts.
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Clearly they aren't being rewarded for their efforts. Here, have my house as well...
My left arm for some DLC? Why certainly...
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Because this stinks of it.
Activision need to be taken down a peg or too. Get some perspective you corporate c*nts!!
//hates big multinational companies.
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Pure Greed. I actually think £40 for XBL is M$ greed.
BUT don't underestimate the power of lure. A free online version which is tantilisingly cut down versus "just" £5 a month for the full version will sucker people in.
...or the power of stupidity. Look at the number of people who spunk £30 or £40 a month on a phone just to get one that's a bit more flash than their mates....or £50 a month for Sky Sports (a highly effective mechnanism to take from the poor and give to the rich). And I'm only just getting warmed up.
Absolutley no chance of me getting suckered. Fuck right off.
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/goes back to playing Mario Galaxy and sobbing
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Yes, they do.
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It will die like every other product or service that overcharges. Its hardly a long term business model to attract new consumers when you can buy similar products at a much more reasonable cost.
They obviously have their heads up their own asses where they are convinced the sun shines.
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Oh, I don't agree with having to pay any sub for an FPS. I was merely pointing out the fact that they do have operating costs for online, when that user appears to be under the impression that online doesnt cost activision anything.
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Also they have introduced a sub system of sorts with the map packs which although universally hated have been a massive financial success. You would have thought they would have been grateful but no they keep pushing to see how far this can be milked. Good luck to them I however will not be buying!
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great if you got in first for the pleasure of it but everythings fucked now.
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"Activision will charge gamers to play first-person shooter behemoth Call of Duty online by the end of the year, analyst Michael Pachter has predicted."
Let's douse the torches and put away the pitchforks for now. If they attempt to charge a subscription for online gaming then it had better provide an awesome reason for that subscription. If they don't then there'll be plenty of other games offering a similar experience for "free".
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I'll stick with Halo for online play, always been superior anyway.
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fucking laughed my arse off reading this
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/checks calender
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Fallout 3 took me over 100 hours to fully complete, perhaps I should throw Bethesda a tenner for all they 'missed out on'.
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EG headline NEXT year: "COD series finished?"
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In theory Bobby Kotic may feel hes right, but in practice i think hell end up killing COD. Its not WOW after all
plus, the games dont even have dedicated servers, so what are you paying for, anyway??? In WOW; you have dedicated servers, the developer regularly has quests, the community is way stronger than teh one that plays COD (the majority of COD players are young and inmature)... as soon as a subscription is implemented, the franchise will die off
just implement something like "PROJECT 10 DOLLAR", and give up, Bobby. Thats the best you can do to get an extra dollar
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Dedicated servers would be nice. But EA manages that for free (although granted their servers appear to be a bit shitty sometimes).
These developers of successful franchises make a fucking mint with every game they churn out. I hope Activision implodes under the poor management from this ass hole.
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Next they should sell online rental books that charge you by the time you read.
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Sadly i bet there will be a hell of a lot, since CoD fans have shown they are stupid. Look at the way the £10.99 map packs are selling.
Anyone who even remotely advocates or defends the "monitisation" of multiplayer is really, really stupid. Why exactly should people pay a sub just because they happen to get more playtime out of a game? It's not like CoD took any more effort to make than games that people play for less time, the fact that players are happy to play the game for hundreds of hours isn't the point. Charing a sub just because people are getting more than they think they should out of the game for £40 is just pure greed plain and simple.
I find it absolutely unbelievable that there are actually people defending this idea in these comments. Statements like "if you get 15 hours from 1 game and 100 from another, why wouldn't you be willing to pay a bit more?"
How about because the devs get paid for creating the framework of a game and the content that works within that framework, they are paid for their time. Just because one game happens to have more replayability than another doesn't entitle them to anymore money. If a 15 hour game takes 2 years to make and so does the 100 hour game, why exactly are they entitled to more money?
The sooner Activision collapse the better, they are a cancer in the games industry.
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If you go and read the entire article at Industry Gamers you can see they are blaming the rise of multiplayer for a 15% drop in sales in June and also the 4 month decline in game sales. Have none of these muppets come to the conclusion that it might have something to do with a global recession/depression and that millions of people have lost their jobs? And maybe a rise in piracy of sofware on the back of that.
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It's a crap game on multiplayer anyway with the ass-screamingly shitty snap-to aiming and the retarded 12yr olds with their asinine "smacktalk".
You can keep it Nobby. No sale here.
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FIFA also has free online & tounaments (interactive world cup). If EA can make money off their multiplayer with no subs than Craptivision can.
I think they are forgetting there a plenty of other FPS out there some better than MW2, and that Respawn will be there to snatch their user base. Good luck Activision, if this comes true, you'll lose this casual gamer. And there's a hell of alot more of us, than the hardcore.
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What about £1 a month? "
Hardly the same when your running around the same bit of content for a thousand hours. Its still the same amount of work thats been put into that.
Now if they guaranteed a thousand hour single player game, with new and different stuff along the way as you progress thats different.
If activision wants some more cash why dont they do what every other firm on the earh does and diversify a bit, bugger off to the oil industry. Oh wait thats not looking so hot recently.