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Bookies now taking bets on Xmas No. 1 News

PC PlayStation 2 PSP DS Xbox 360 PlayStation 3 Wii
News by Ellie Gibson

9 October, 2009

Bookmaker Paddy Power is now taking bets on the game which will top the all-formats chart this Christmas.

At the time of writing Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2 was the favourite, with odds of 6/5. Assassin's Creed II is next up at 7/2, followed by Mario and Sonic at the Olympic Winter Games (9/2).

The least likely contenders are SmackDown vs. RAW 2010 and SAW: The Videogame, both at 150/1.

Looks like another COD Christmas then, unless there are any to-be-announced surprises we don't know about. Cliff Richard's Christmas Millennium Family Party Wii, anyone?

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Comments: 1-39 of 39 in total

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Masterless
09/10/09 @ 07:47
#1
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Odds of 6/5? I'll be putting a tenner on that. I'll need the money for christmas pressies. I may even have enough left over for a deposit on a house.
muscleblade
09/10/09 @ 07:48
#2
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Both AC2 and MW2 are must buys for me. Im also getting L4D2, Brutal Legend and Borderlands.
LazyDan
09/10/09 @ 07:49
#3
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Mario & Sonic and Modern Warfare 2 will blatantly be #1 and #2... I reckon Mario and Sonic will take it.
StooMonster
09/10/09 @ 07:53
#4
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Does Cliff Richard's Christmas Millennium Family Party Wii come with it's own mic, or can I use the one from High School Musical Wii?
MrMarc
09/10/09 @ 07:53
#5
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Don't be daft LazyDan lol, MW2 is undoubtedly gonna set launch records even despite Activision's shocking pricing on it. It'll still be huge.
Xerx3s
09/10/09 @ 07:53
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I doubt it. COD6 will be on 3 platforms by then. There is a reason that COD4 still sells for near full price these days.
Xerx3s
09/10/09 @ 07:55
#7
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Lol GT5 is there as well. Perhaps somebody should tell them that it won't be in the shops.
RABicle
09/10/09 @ 07:58
#8
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Odds on Wii Sport Resort?
solidSnake04
09/10/09 @ 08:02
#9
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FIFA 10 ? doesnt it always sells like hot cakes ? and FIFA is usually on every platform you can possibly think of. I remember that Need 4 Speed used to be Xmas number 1...or was it just a sales record breaker in some other way ?
Toothball
09/10/09 @ 08:02
#10
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I expect since the music chart Christmas number one isn't at all interesting any more they're branching out into other charts.
Bongo
09/10/09 @ 08:12
#11
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Mario & Sonic got the Christmas no.1 last time it was out (and it took a big jump in the last week to get there). It's the perfect choice for gamers buying gifts for their family who have a Wii and they want to play something bearable on Christmas Day rather than Scrabble.
It was 12-1 when the odds came out so clearly a lot of people think the same if it's dropped to 5-1 after a day.
mingster
09/10/09 @ 08:23
#12
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It will be MW2 definately...
on pre-orders alone its already gonna fly straight into no.1
Burkey123
09/10/09 @ 08:27
#13
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Without a doubt, it's going to be MW2.
hiddenranbir
09/10/09 @ 08:28
#14
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Ass Creed will lose to Mod WAR. WAR! It has guns! Pew pew pew!
swissorc
09/10/09 @ 08:52
#15
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RABicle interesting or even Wii Fit Plus. It's better because it has plus in the title :-)
paulf
09/10/09 @ 09:11
#16
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@mingster woudlnt those preorders count for sales in the week it is out though not at xmas

anyway the only way it's not gonna be xmas no1 is if everyone who's gonna get it gets it on launch day
Shadders
09/10/09 @ 09:12
#17
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I can't see beyond Mario and Sonic personally, it's hitting Wii and DS so has a huge install base to aim at, and it's the sort of game that shops will stick in console bundles.
Beek4257
09/10/09 @ 09:23
#18
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Cliff R ... what now? Stop putting ideas in his head!
And here some of us thought Rock Band: U2 was a bad idea ...
RobotRocker
09/10/09 @ 09:32
#19
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Mario and Sonic at the Olympic Games did massive amounts so Winter Olympics has got a very good chance going of the massive success of that. Plus the money Sega and Nintendo are pumping into marketing will make sure people will know about it. Plus MW2's ridiculous £55 price point and I can see the Wii taking it again. IMO I would go for

1. Mario And Sonic at the Winter Games
2. FIFA 10
3. The Beatles: Rock Band (Its going to make a huge surge back in at Christmas. Particularly on the Wii)
4. Call of Duty: Modern Warefare 2 (Unless Tesco/Asda slash the price. Its got no chance at No.1)
5. Need For Speed: Shift
6. Assassins Creed 2
7. Forza Motorsport 3 (Gonna be a huge system Seller for Microsoft this year)
8. Tekken 6
9. Lego Rock Band (Its gonna pick up off the back of Beatles RB plus the Lego licence will easily smoke Band Hero)
10. Uncharted 2 (Sonys System Seller. Probably not as much as they will hope though)

Brutal Legend might be up there but it would depend how well its marketed and how much sales travel from October. It seems like an instant hardcore pick up though.
Edited 1 times, most recently on 09/10/09 @ 10:36
penhalion
09/10/09 @ 09:40
#20
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Everyone place a large bet on SAW and then we all go out buy it and collect a fortune! Isn't that what the internets is for?
Fletche
09/10/09 @ 10:02
#21
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So nobody thinks NSMB is going to make an impression?
roz123
09/10/09 @ 10:07
#22
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Proffesor Layton 2, New Super Mario Bros Wii and Wii Fit pllus are all sequals to BIG sellers, so i would be surprised if they are not up there.
Benno
09/10/09 @ 10:35
#23
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I would bet on WAR, but the odds have moved to 11/10 now, so not going to bother
rashes
09/10/09 @ 11:05
#24
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I think NFS: Shift is a good outsider. Anybody know what the last 2/3 years no. 1s were?
bodypopper
09/10/09 @ 11:18
#25
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I forsee a sales boost for the new PS3 this Chrimbo and lots of take up of MW2, Uncharted 2 and FIFA 10 as a result.
MW2 FTW though.
Invisible_Cow
09/10/09 @ 12:02
#26
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MW2 will clearly be the best-selling game on the PS3 and 360, but don't rule out the Nintentards. Lots of kids\parents have Wiis and DSs, and will be getting their annual games haul; it was impossible to get hold of the original Professor Layton last Christmas. Plus, there's always a rip-off Sims add-on that does well (though I don't know whether PC is included in their chart).
Sounds like one I might take a punt on, anyway.
RobotRocker
09/10/09 @ 13:20
#27
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@ rashes

Heres the last few up to 2002

2008: FIFA 09
2007: Call of Duty 4
2006: FIFA 07
2005: Need For Speed: Most Wanted
2004: Need For Speed: Underground 2
2003: Medal of Honor: Rising Sun
2002: GTA: Vice City
Bongo
09/10/09 @ 13:47
#28
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Mario and Sonic was at the top last year, wasn't it?
Runcle
09/10/09 @ 14:29
#29
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I remember fifa being top last year. I'm not sure it will do it again this year with many people getting copies over the launche weekend.
RobotRocker
09/10/09 @ 15:17
#30
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FIFA topped the charts as a lot of places slashed the prices on it just before Christmas as well.

Mario And Sonic at the Olympic Games was the overall best selling game of 2008 (Though that counted the DS version that was released later too)
Sparkplug
09/10/09 @ 17:18
#31
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It has to be Modern Warfare 2. Activision jacked the price up they are that confident it will sell millions.
TheJuriel
10/10/09 @ 08:36
#32
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Duh. Modern Warfare 2 it is.

I really like what I'm seeing of AC2, and will wait for Bad Company 2 rather than Modern Warfare (yay, destructible environment), but... I don't think AC2 has quite the mass appeal as just shooting people.
slimspudly
10/10/09 @ 10:50
#33
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pah people saying that COD MW 2 wont be number one are talking NONSENSE!

despite the damn right outrageous price tag activision are giving it people will pay the price for it. the franchise has a HUGE following and the marketing around crimbo time on the telly will guarentee it a no 1 position. however mario and sonic, AC 2 and FIFA 10 will give it a run for its money
top 10 will look like this
1-MW2
2-AC 2
3-Mario and Sonic At The Winter Olympics
4-Wii Fit Plus
5-Left 4 Dead 2
6-New Super Mario Bros Wii
7-Uncharted 2 - WILL SELL BY THE BUCKET LOAD NEXT WEEKEND
8-Forza 3
9-Halo 3 ODST
10-DJ Hero
webcider
10/10/09 @ 13:48
#34
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Personally i know two people who wont buying COD 6 but did buy COD 4.

However these two people also own Killzone 2 which is clearly a better more advanced shooter than COD 6 ever can dream to be. Yes i said it... flag me as a fan boy i guess i deserve that, but i won't turn my respons down i see it as the truth in anycase :)
stoopidgreg
10/10/09 @ 17:33
#35
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isn't MW2 supposed to be the biggest selling game evar? i guess who gets the xmas #1 all depends on release date.
wez_316
11/10/09 @ 23:09
#36
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Christmas No. 1 is kind of meaningless for games seeing as hardly anything releases within a month of Christmas anyway. Zelda: Spirit Tracks should be number 1 by rights come Christmas because it's release is very close to Christmas and it will oh so definitely be an awesome game.

I doubt it will be number 1 though in reality... but it would be nice!

My bets are on MW2 of course. It's bound to be Christmas number 1 because a lot of people wanting to buy it for others at Christmas will be waiting on it to drop in price before they buy it. When they realise that it's still £45 on Christmas week there will be plenty of last minute buys.
bratmandu
13/10/09 @ 11:44
#37
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Is anyone actually going to put any money on that at all.

at 6/5 a tenner would get you only £12 surely?

If they're actually taking real bets then it might be worth a couple of hundred to make 40 quid. Maybe.
RABicle
14/10/09 @ 13:19
#38
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Lol AC2 odds getting longer fast.
icematt12
28/10/09 @ 01:21
#39
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I could probably create a game myself in time for a christmas release that has more chance of being a No.1 than Mario and Sonic. IW are going to create an amasing gameplay experience, even if people don't agree with the network side of things.

Comments: 1-39 of 39 in total

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